

172 

FNUS54 KMRX 070736

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

236 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS 

MORNING...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH MIDDAY. HIGH PRESSURE 

WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND...BRINGING DRIER 

CONDITIONS AND MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH VETERANS DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

236 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-20)  28-33 (-18)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   80-85 (-13)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G17                 NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 18                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

236 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-17)  27-32 (-19)  45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   78-83 (-15)  27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G18                 NW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 10 G19    NW  6        NW  9 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 21                     NW 20        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-080845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

236 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-18)  29-34 (-17)  48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-3)   71-76 (-22)  17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7                     N  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    NW  5        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N 14         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-080845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

236 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-15)  30-35 (-18)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-10)  70-75 (-26)  18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G18                  N  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G18     N  5         N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N 15         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-080845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

236 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-14)  28-33 (-19)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  72-77 (-25)  15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 N  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G18     N  5         N  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     N 14         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

236 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-20)  28-33 (-19)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   81-86 (-12)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8                     NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

236 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-19)  30-35 (-17)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   76-81 (-18)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 17                     N 12         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

236 AM EST THU NOV 7 2013 /136 AM CST THU NOV 7 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-14)  31-36 (-17)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-13)  77-82 (-17)  23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N 11 G21                  N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G18     N  5         N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM                                   

PRECIP END            1 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 21                      N 13         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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