

142 

FNUS54 KMRX 062008

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

310 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION LATER 

TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH 

PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND...BRINGING 

DRIER CONDITIONS AND MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH VETERANS DAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-072100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

310 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   53-58 (-16)  28-33        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    44-49 (+1)   82-87        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     NW  7 G16    NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     NW 18        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   53-58 (-14)  27-32        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   43-48 (-2)   79-84        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G18                 NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     NW 11 G22    NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NW 20        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ072-074-072100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

310 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (0)    52-57 (-15)  26-31        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+2)   44-49 (-4)   77-82        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G24     N  9 G22     N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TNZ087-102-072100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   54-59 (-13)  27-32        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   44-49 (-10)  76-81        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G17                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     N  9 G19     N  5         N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-072100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

310 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+2)   54-59 (-13)  26-31        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   45-50 (-8)   77-82        15-20        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        N  9 G17     N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-072100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

310 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   56-61 (-15)  28-33        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+3)   42-47 (-2)   82-87        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-072100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

310 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   56-61 (-14)  29-34        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+4)   41-46 (-7)   80-85        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 18                     N 12         

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-072100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

310 PM EST WED NOV 6 2013 /210 PM CST WED NOV 6 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   56-61 (-11)  30-35        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  43-48 (-14)  80-85        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G19                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     N  9 G19     N  6         NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$







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