

841 

FNUS54 KMRX 060812

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

311 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA...WARMER AND INCREASINGLY HUMID BUT 

RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL 

THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATER TONIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING 

HOURS ON THURSDAY ALONG WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE AND COOLER NORTHWEST 

WINDS. DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH 

TEMPERATURES AT OR A LITTLE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-070915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

311 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   47-52 (+7)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+15)  95-100 (+25) 49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-070915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   47-52 (+9)   50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+23)  88-93 (+11)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      NW 11 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-070915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

311 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   47-52 (+8)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+18)  89-94 (+10)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      N 10 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           70           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-070915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   50-55 (+12)  53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+21)  88-93 (-2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 26                      N 17         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-070915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

311 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-1)   51-56 (+15)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+22)  89-94 (-6)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-070915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

311 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   48-53 (+9)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+20)  91-96 (+18)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      NW 16        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-070915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

311 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+1)   47-52 (+6)   53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+18)  95-100 (+10) 39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.39         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      N 16         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-070915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

311 AM EST WED NOV 6 2013 /211 AM CST WED NOV 6 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   48-53 (+5)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+21)  95-100 (+8)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      N  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      N  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            90           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.40         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 28                      N 18         

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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