

646 

FNUS54 KMRX 052002

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

302 PM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA...WE CAN EXPECT WARMER AND 

INCREASINGLY HUMID BUT RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

RAIN WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON 

THURSDAY ALONG WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE AND COOLER NORTHWEST WINDS. 

DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH TEMPERATURES AT 

OR A LITTLE BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

302 PM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   63-68 (+4)   47-52        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+19)  49-54 (+20)  95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         S  5         NW  6 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+5)   59-64 (+1)   46-51        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+27) 53-58 (+25)  90-95        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         LGT/VAR      W  8 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-062100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

302 PM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+6)   60-65 (-1)   47-52        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+18)  52-57 (+21)  87-92        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        SW  6 G16    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-062100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+5)   64-69 (0)    49-54        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+17)  52-57 (+21)  88-93        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 4            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.22         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-062100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

302 PM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+6)   63-68 (0)    49-54        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+15)  53-58 (+22)  91-96        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.16         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      NW 18        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

302 PM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+3)   65-70 (+3)   48-53        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 46-51 (+20)  92-97        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.19         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

302 PM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   65-70 (+1)   48-53        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+11)  49-54 (+18)  92-97        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.35         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         74 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

302 PM EST TUE NOV 5 2013 /202 PM CST TUE NOV 5 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   65-70 (+2)   49-54        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+12)  55-60 (+21)  90-95        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      N  8 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80           30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   10 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.35         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         101 VERY GOOD             50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













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