

964 

FNUS54 KMRX 050753

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

253 AM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA WE CAN EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS 

...AND A GENERAL WARMING TREND THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE 

FOR RAIN WILL BE ON THURSDAY...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. MORE DRY WEATHER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER 

TEMPERATURES RETURN FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

253 AM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   41-46 (+6)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-2)   85-90 (+12)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S 16         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

253 AM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   39-44 (+5)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (0)    89-94 (+21)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  5        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     S 16         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-060900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

253 AM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   39-44 (+5)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-17)  85-90 (+17)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 15         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-060900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

253 AM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   40-45 (+6)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (-14)  88-93 (+18)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S 23         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-060900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

253 AM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+4)   39-44 (+9)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      18-23 (-18)  89-94 (+16)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE 21        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   66 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID

30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

253 AM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   39-44 (+6)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   91-96 (+9)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S 15         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO

UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

253 AM EST TUE NOV 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   41-46 (+4)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   87-92 (+10)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S 21         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

253 AM EST TUE NOV 5 2013 /153 AM CST TUE NOV 5 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   44-49 (+7)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-9)   87-92 (+13)  50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     S 24         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   95 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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