

334 

FNUS54 KMRX 042009

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

309 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA WE CAN EXPECT DRY 

CONDITIONS...AND A GENERAL WARMING TREND THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE ON THURSDAY...AS A COLD 

FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-052100-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

309 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   57-62 (+3)   39-44        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-4)   29-34 (-4)   88-93        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-052100-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (+2)   55-60 (+3)   38-43        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   30-35 (-3)   91-96        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     S 14         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-052100-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

309 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+5)   57-62 (+2)   38-43        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-5)   20-25 (-6)   84-89        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      S 13         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-052100-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+2)   62-67 (+2)   40-45        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   23-28 (-1)   86-91        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     S 22         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-052100-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

309 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (0)    62-67 (+6)   39-44        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-6)   20-25 (-2)   86-91        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     S 20         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER

20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-052100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

309 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   60-65 (+2)   39-44        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   28-33 (-4)   92-97        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  9                     S 13         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO

MID 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-052100-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

309 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+4)   61-66 (+1)   41-46        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   27-32 (-4)   88-93        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     S 21         

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-052100-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

309 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013 /209 PM CST MON NOV 4 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   63-68 (+2)   44-49        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    24-29 (-4)   86-91        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     S 24         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   88 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$















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