

507 

FNUS54 KMRX 040918

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

418 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES 

WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TODAY...THEN WARM BY MID WEEK. SHOWERS 

RETURN TO THE FORECAST BY EARLY THURSDAY...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

418 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   32-37 (+4)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-18)  77-82 (-8)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  5        SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     S  6         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

418 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   31-36 (+1)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-14)  71-76 (-7)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G15    SE  7        SE  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE  9        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-051030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

418 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   31-36 (+1)   56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-19)  72-77 (-6)   17-22        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SE  7        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-051030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

418 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   31-36 (0)    60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      21-26 (-20)  75-80 (-4)   21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  6        SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE 10        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-051030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

418 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   28-33 (-1)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-20)  79-84 (-3)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  5        SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 10                     SE 12        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

418 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+6)   30-35 (+2)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-12)  83-88 (-5)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  5        SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE  7        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

418 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+5)   35-40 (+2)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-15)  79-84 (-1)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SE  6        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

418 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013 /318 AM CST MON NOV 4 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+4)   35-40 (+2)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-17)  77-82 (-3)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G16    S  5         SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 17                     SE 14        

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD









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