

725 

FNUS54 KMRX 031931

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

231 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES 

WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR MONDAY...THEN WARM BY MID WEEK. 

SHOWERS RETURN TO THE FORECAST BY EARLY THURSDAY...AHEAD OF A COLD 

FRONT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-042045-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

231 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-7)   53-58 (+5)   31-36        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   35-40 (-13)  67-72        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     S  7         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-042045-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   51-56 (+3)   29-34        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+5)   32-37 (-11)  66-71        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-042045-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

231 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-1)   52-57 (+2)   30-35        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-4)   33-38 (-9)   69-74        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     S 10         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-042045-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   57-62 (+2)   30-35        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   29-34 (-12)  72-77        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     S 15         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-042045-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-5)   57-62 (+2)   27-32        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    28-33 (-11)  79-84        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 10                     S 15         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-042045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

231 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-5)   56-61 (+5)   30-35        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 34-39 (-8)   74-79        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     S  7         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-042045-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

231 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   57-62 (+3)   34-39        59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   37-42 (-7)   74-79        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     S  8         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-042045-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

231 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2013 /131 PM CST SUN NOV 3 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-2)   59-64 (+2)   34-39        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+3)   33-38 (-9)   69-74        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 17                     S 15         

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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