

530 

FNUS54 KMRX 021851

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

251 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE REGION TONIGHT. HIGH 

PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 

SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

251 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-7)   49-54 (-4)   28-33        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   41-46 (-5)   89-94        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   48-53 (-3)   31-36        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   40-45 (-10)  81-86        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

251 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-8)   50-55 (+1)   30-35        53-58        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+3)   36-41 (-16)  80-85        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      SE  9        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-8)   55-60 (-1)   31-36        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   34-39 (-14)  81-86        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SE 12        

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

251 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-6)   55-60 (-1)   30-35        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   32-37 (-16)  87-92        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  6         LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      SE 12        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

251 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   52-57 (-4)   29-34        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   36-41 (-9)   89-94        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      SE  8        

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

251 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   54-59 (-4)   33-38        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   36-41 (-6)   82-87        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      S  9         

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

251 PM EDT SAT NOV 2 2013 /151 PM CDT SAT NOV 2 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-6)   55-60 (-6)   35-40        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-10)  37-42 (-3)   83-88        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NE  6        LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      S 17         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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