

603 

FNUS54 KMRX 020031

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

831 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS INCREASE EARLY SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES 

IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THE 

WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-030145-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

831 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  51-56 (-13)  33-38        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+10)  47-52 (-6)   95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  9 G17     NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-030145-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

831 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  49-54 (-13)  32-37        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+6)   44-49 (-8)   92-97        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W 11 G20     NW  6 G16    N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-030145-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

831 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-19)  47-52 (-13)  31-36        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   44-49 (-8)   92-97        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     NW  9 G18    NW  5        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-030145-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

831 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  54-59 (-11)  32-37        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-3)   41-46 (-4)   91-96        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-030145-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

831 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-20)  54-59 (-11)  31-36        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   39-44 (-9)   90-95        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   66 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-030145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

831 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-22)  54-59 (-12)  34-39        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+13)  45-50 (-3)   91-96        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W  8         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-030145-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

831 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-19)  55-60 (-12)  34-39        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-1)   42-47 (-2)   89-94        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   64 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-030145-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

831 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013 /731 PM CDT FRI NOV 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-20)  58-63 (-10)  35-40        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-3)   38-43 (-4)   85-90        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         81 GOOD                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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