

781 

FNUS54 KMRX 011818

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

218 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS INCREASE EARLY SATURDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES 

IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL FOR THE 

WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

218 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  51-56 (-13)  33-38        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+6)   48-53 (-6)   92-97        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W 10 G18     NW  6        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

218 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  49-54 (-13)  32-37        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   44-49 (-8)   90-95        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G18     W 11 G21     NW  9        N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 21        

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

218 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-19)  47-52 (-13)  31-36        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   44-49 (-7)   87-92        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5 G15                  N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G20     W 10 G19     NW  6        NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD                            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

218 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-20)  54-59 (-11)  32-37        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-7)   39-44 (-6)   82-87        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      N  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         54 GEN GOOD                            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

218 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-20)  54-59 (-11)  31-36        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  37-42 (-11)  80-85        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  9 G17    NW  6        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7700                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     N 17         

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                                

MAX LVORI                          3                                      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

218 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-22)  54-59 (-12)  34-39        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+10)  42-47 (-7)   93-98        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

218 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-19)  55-60 (-12)  34-39        54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   40-45 (-4)   86-91        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      NE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

218 PM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013 /118 PM CDT FRI NOV 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-20)  58-63 (-10)  35-40        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-6)   36-41 (-7)   80-85        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G16                 N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  8 G16    NW  5        NE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                                



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. EAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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