

868 

FNUS54 KMRX 010830

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

430 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS WILL END THIS MORNING WITH PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. STRONG 

AND GUSTY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE DECREASING THROUGHOUT 

THE DAY. CLOUDS INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE 

APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

430 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-1)   39-44 (-19)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-15)  90-95 (+11)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G16                  W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    W  7         W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            2 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 21         

DISPERSION            96 GOOD                   92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

430 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   39-44 (-19)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-11)  85-90 (+6)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G23                  W  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  8 G18     W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            5 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 24         

DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   91 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

430 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   39-44 (-17)  51-56        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-21)  85-90 (+1)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G28                  W  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W  9 G20     W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            5 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 18         

DISPERSION            79 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

430 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+1)   39-44 (-19)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-21)  86-91 (+1)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  6         NW  8 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            5 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

430 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   38-43 (-19)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-24)  86-91 (-2)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G16     W  6         NW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            5 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            81 GOOD                   79 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER

60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

430 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   39-44 (-21)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  90-95 (+13)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     W  6         W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            2 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 20         

DISPERSION            93 GOOD                   89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

430 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   41-46 (-18)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-23)  86-91 (0)    40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     W  6         W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            2 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 17        

DISPERSION            90 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

430 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013 /330 AM CDT FRI NOV 1 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    41-46 (-19)  59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-26)  85-90 (-5)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      NW  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  5         NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            2 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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