

503 

FNUS54 KMRX 010444 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1244 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF AN 

APPROACHING COLD FRONT. BREEZY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS A  

LARGE BAND OF SHOWERS...ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY AS 

THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1244 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   39-44 (-18)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-11)  90-95 (+11)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G16                  W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           10           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 20         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1244 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    38-43 (-19)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-11)  86-91 (+7)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G23                  W  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     W  5         W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 23         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1244 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    38-43 (-18)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-13)  87-92 (+3)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G28                  W  5 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  5         NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            5 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 21         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1244 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+1)   39-44 (-19)  55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-13)  87-92 (+2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            5 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1244 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   38-43 (-19)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-17)  85-90 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           10           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            5 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 22        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1244 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   39-44 (-20)  54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-12)  90-95 (+13)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            2 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 20         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1244 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   40-45 (-19)  56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-17)  88-93 (+2)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G18                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            2 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 18         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1244 AM EDT FRI NOV 1 2013 /1144 PM CDT THU OCT 31 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   41-46 (-19)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-17)  84-89 (-6)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      NW  5 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            2 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$













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