

431 

FNUS54 KMRX 301903

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

303 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL OVERNIGHT WITH CALM CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL 

BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF AN 

APPROACHING STRONG COLD FRONT. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...AS WELL 

AS A LARGE BAND OF CONVECTION...ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AND 

FRIDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-312015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

303 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    67-72 (0)    54-59        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  54-59 (0)    95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G22                  SW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G25     S 15 G29     W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.54         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     W 23         

DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   52 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-312015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+1)   64-69 (-2)   53-58        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+7)   51-56 (-1)   93-98        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G23                  SW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 15 G27     S 15 G29     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.47         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 28                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-312015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

303 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   63-68 (-4)   52-57        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-4)   52-57 (+1)   95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 11 G29                  W  9 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 18 G35     S 20 G39     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.77         0.15         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 37                      W 22         

DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER

30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-312015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+5)   67-72 (-4)   54-59        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-12)  53-58 (+6)   95-100       46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G25                  W  8 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 16 G30     S 17 G32     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.82         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 35                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         105 VERY GOOD             39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-312015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

303 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   68-73 (-2)   53-58        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-8)   51-56 (+3)   95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G20                 SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 13 G25     S 14 G26     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.87         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 31                      SW 20        

DISPERSION                         95 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-312015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

303 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   70-75 (+1)   54-59        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   48-53 (-3)   95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G19                  SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     S 12 G22     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.58         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            3            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 28                     W 22         

DISPERSION                         91 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-312015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

303 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   68-73 (-3)   56-61        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-12)  54-59 (+3)   95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G21                  W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 14 G26     S 16 G28     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.10         0.85         0.04         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 37                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         129 VERY GOOD             47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-312015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

303 PM EDT WED OCT 30 2013 /203 PM CDT WED OCT 30 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+6)   70-75 (-4)   57-62        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-21)  52-57 (+5)   95-100       46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G22                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S 14 G25     S 15 G27     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.72         0.05         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 36                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         131 VERY GOOD             46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$













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