

011 

FNUS54 KMRX 300815

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

415 AM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL REMAIN DRY TODAY.  

HOWEVER...SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES WILL 

OCCASIONALLY MOVE THROUGH NORTHEAST TN AND SOUTHWEST VA AS A WARM 

FRONT SLOWLY PULLS NORTH OF THE AREA.  WINDS WILL BEGIN TO 

INCREASE OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING 

STRONG COLD FRONT.  BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...AS WELL AS A LARGE 

BAND OF CONVECTION...ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE 

COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-310915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

415 AM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+2)   49-54 (-1)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   95-100 (+2)  55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  6 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       2                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      5 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      S 28         

DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-310915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

415 AM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   48-53 (0)    63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   95-100 (+9)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 S  5 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      S 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      5 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      S 25         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-310915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

415 AM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+4)   49-54 (+2)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   88-93 (+7)   58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 SW  7 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW 13 G24    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      S 31         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-310915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

415 AM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+5)   51-56 (+4)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   91-96 (+11)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  5 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      S 30         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-310915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

415 AM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+3)   49-54 (+3)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-5)   94-99 (+12)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      S 28         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-310915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

415 AM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   50-55 (+1)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   95-100 (+6)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      S 25         

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-310915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

415 AM EDT WED OCT 30 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+3)   53-58 (+4)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   89-94 (+1)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 11 G21    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      S 31         

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-310915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

415 AM EDT WED OCT 30 2013 /315 AM CDT WED OCT 30 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   54-59 (+5)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   87-92 (0)    53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S 11 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S 31         

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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