

354 

FNUS54 KMRX 281918

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 PM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST THIS 

EVENING...ENDING THE LIGHT RAIN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD INTO 

THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...BRINGING MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. 

A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED BY 

THURSDAY NIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-292015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 PM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   63-68 (+5)   47-52        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   51-56 (-17)  90-95        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM                     CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     W 21         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH 

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-292015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   61-66 (+5)   46-51        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+3)   50-55 (-18)  86-91        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            12 AM                     CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-292015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 PM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   63-68 (+6)   46-51        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-6)   45-50 (-17)  84-89        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6 G17     SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S 

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-292015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   67-72 (+6)   48-53        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   47-52 (-13)  85-90        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-292015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 PM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   66-71 (+5)   47-52        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   47-52 (-9)   85-90        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     SW 12        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-292015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 PM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    66-71 (+6)   48-53        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   45-50 (-19)  88-93        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH 

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-292015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 PM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   67-72 (+6)   49-54        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+2)   44-49 (-20)  89-94        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                                 1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 PM                      

PRECIP END                                      8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 18        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-292015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 PM EDT MON OCT 28 2013 /215 PM CDT MON OCT 28 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   68-73 (+6)   50-55        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (0)    46-51 (-19)  87-92        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 

60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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