

853 

FNUS54 KMRX 280734

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

334 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. HIGH 

PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH 

MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED ON 

THURSDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-290845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

334 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   44-49 (0)    63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+21)  95-100 (+8)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-290845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

334 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-2)   43-48 (+1)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+19)  94-99 (+7)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-290845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

334 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   43-48 (+2)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+7)   87-92 (-5)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-290845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

334 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   43-48 (0)    67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   89-94 (+1)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-290845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

334 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (0)    42-47 (0)    66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   89-94 (+1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-290845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

334 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   43-48 (-1)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+17)  95-100 (+6)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH

EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-290845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

334 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   44-49 (-2)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+10)  93-98 (+4)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-290845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

334 AM EDT MON OCT 28 2013 /234 AM CDT MON OCT 28 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   44-49 (-3)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+9)   92-97 (+1)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













