

607 

FNUS54 KMRX 271856

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

256 PM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT 

AND MONDAY...PRODUCING SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL 

STRENGTHEN OVER THE REGION FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH MID WEEK...WITH 

WARMING TEMPERATURES AND ONLY SLIGHT RAIN CHANCES. A BETTER CHANCE 

OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

256 PM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+4)   58-63 (-3)   44-49        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+7)   65-70 (+21)  95-100       51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      SW  5        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-282000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 PM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   57-62 (-1)   44-49        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+18)  62-67 (+17)  91-96        50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          4 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W  6         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-282000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

256 PM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   59-64 (+3)   45-50        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+18)  51-56 (+1)   82-87        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.13         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     W  6         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-282000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 PM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+7)   62-67 (+2)   47-52        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+6)   51-56 (0)    81-86        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO

MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-282000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

256 PM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+10)  62-67 (+1)   45-50        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   50-55 (-2)   79-84        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW  6        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-282000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

256 PM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   60-65 (-2)   46-51        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+10)  61-66 (+19)  88-93        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.14         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      SW  5        

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-282000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

256 PM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+5)   62-67 (+2)   46-51        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+14)  56-61 (+9)   93-98        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW  8        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-282000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

256 PM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013 /156 PM CDT SUN OCT 27 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   64-69 (+3)   48-53        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+10)  54-59 (+4)   91-96        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 10        

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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