

620 

FNUS54 KMRX 270748

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

348 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES IN FROM THE 

NORTHWEST TODAY. A WEAK UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE 

REGION TONIGHT AND MONDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

348 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   43-48 (+3)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+11)  93-98 (+12)  54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 14         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-280900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   41-46 (0)    59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+15)  95-100 (+26) 51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 16         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-280900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

348 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   42-47 (+3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+18)  95-100 (+21) 44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-280900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   44-49 (+4)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+22)  95-100 (+18) 43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-280900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   43-48 (+6)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+24)  95-100 (+17) 40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 15        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-280900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

348 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   43-48 (+3)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+16)  95-100 (+18) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 15         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-280900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

348 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   45-50 (+3)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+16)  95-100 (+20) 49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-280900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

348 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013 /248 AM CDT SUN OCT 27 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   46-51 (+5)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+20)  93-98 (+11)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 18        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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