

582 

FNUS54 KMRX 240656

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

256 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE 

TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AT OR BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT ACROSS MOST OF 

THE AREA WITH A HARD FREEZE ANTICIPATED FRIDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-250800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

256 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    27-32 (-1)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-14)  86-91 (-3)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-250800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-4)   25-30 (-2)   42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-3)   86-91 (+2)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G20                  NW  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G21     NW  5        NW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-250800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

256 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    23-28 (-3)   44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  89-94 (+4)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      N  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      N 14         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 28. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-250800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   25-30 (-4)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-13)  81-86 (+1)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        N  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N 17         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-250800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   25-30 (-3)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-14)  81-86 (0)    33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     N  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  5        N  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      N 17         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-250800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

256 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   27-32 (-1)   46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-6)   84-89 (+2)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-250800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

256 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   26-31 (-3)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  82-87 (-3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N 13         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-250800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

256 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2013 /156 AM CDT THU OCT 24 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   28-33 (-3)   49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-11)  78-83 (-2)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N 14         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













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