

001 

FNUS54 KMRX 231844

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

244 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION. A HARD FREEZE OR FROST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR TONIGHT. 

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE END OF 

THE WORK WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

244 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  45-50 (+2)   28-33        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+1)   46-51 (-16)  84-89        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G17    W  9         NW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW 14        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-12)  45-50 (-1)   27-32        42-47        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+4)   42-47 (-6)   87-92        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      NW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G22    W  9         NW  7        NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-241945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

244 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-11)  48-53 (+3)   27-32        43-48        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+9)   37-42 (-12)  89-94        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G18    W  8 G16     NW  6        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-241945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-11)  54-59 (+5)   29-34        48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   33-38 (-11)  88-93        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      N 16         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-241945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

244 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-10)  54-59 (+5)   29-34        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   32-37 (-11)  90-95        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G17    NW  7        NW  5        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      N 17         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

244 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-12)  48-53 (0)    29-34        45-50        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (0)    41-46 (-7)   86-91        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8         W  5         NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   11 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      NW 13        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

244 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-11)  50-55 (+3)   30-35        47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-1)   39-44 (-11)  85-90        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  5        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

244 PM EDT WED OCT 23 2013 /144 PM CDT WED OCT 23 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-11)  55-60 (+6)   31-36        50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    35-40 (-10)  83-88        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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