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089 

FNUS54 KMRX 231426 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1026 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



.DISCUSSION...

BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED

THIS AFTERNOON. COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF

THE WEEK. IN FACT...THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED IN

MANY AREAS THIS WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1026 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-12)  28-33 (-11)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   92-97 (0)    49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G22    W  7 G16     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 15         

DISPERSION            93 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1026 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-11)  27-32 (-12)  46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-10)  88-93 (+4)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G24                  W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G25    W  8 G21     W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 30                      W 18         

DISPERSION            92 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-241530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1026 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-12)  25-30 (-13)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-10)  93-98 (+13)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G23                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  5 G15    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 16         

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 28. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-241530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1026 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-10)  26-31 (-14)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-14)  91-96 (+13)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G21    NW  5        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 25                     NW 15        

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-241530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1026 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-9)   25-30 (-13)  50-55        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-18)  95-100 (+14) 44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 13 G23    NW  5        NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 28                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            95 GOOD                   61 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1026 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-10)  28-33 (-13)  49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   90-95 (+5)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G21                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G23    W  5         W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 13         

DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1026 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-11)  29-34 (-12)  52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-10)  91-96 (+7)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W  9         

DISPERSION            94 GOOD                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR...COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1026 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2013 /926 AM CDT WED OCT 23 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-13)  30-35 (-12)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-12)  91-96 (+10)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 11 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 24                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$

















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