

861 

FNUS54 KMRX 221855

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

255 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY 

MORNING...BRINGING A FEW SHOWERS AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR 

THE END OF THE WEEK. IN FACT...THE FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON IS 

EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS LATER THIS WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-232000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

255 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-4)   48-53 (-11)  29-34        46-51        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+12) 48-53 (-4)   90-95        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G21                  W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G22     W  6         W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.04         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-232000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   47-52 (-12)  27-32        44-49        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+8)   43-48 (-4)   86-91        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G24                  W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 14 G26     W  7 G16     W  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         50 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. CHANCE OF

SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-232000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

255 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   48-53 (-12)  27-32        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+4)   39-44 (-10)  90-95        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 14 G24                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G15     NW 11 G23    LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   5 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 29                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. CHANCE OF

SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-232000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   53-58 (-10)  28-33        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   33-38 (-15)  81-86        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 24                     NW 13        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-232000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

255 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   54-59 (-9)   27-32        56-61        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   30-35 (-18)  84-89        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 12 G22    LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 29                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               57 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS NEAR 30.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-232000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

255 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   51-56 (-11)  28-33        49-54        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+8)   42-47 (-6)   92-97        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G23                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G23     LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING                2 PM         

PRECIP END                         2 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-232000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

255 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   51-56 (-12)  30-35        52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+12)  39-44 (-9)   91-96        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 10         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FROST. SLIGHT CHANCE OF

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-232000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

255 PM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013 /155 PM CDT TUE OCT 22 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-3)   54-59 (-11)  31-36        55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+6)   35-40 (-11)  84-89        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G19    LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 25                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF FROST. LOWS IN THE 30S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$













