

981 

FNUS54 KMRX 220708

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY...BRINGING A FEW SHOWERS. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE 

THROUGH THE REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...BRINGING A FEW SHOWERS 

AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. IN FACT...THE 

FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON IS EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS LATER THIS WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   39-44 (-4)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  95-100 (+11) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 24         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   39-44 (-3)   47-52        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   90-95 (+10)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  W 12 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      W 12 G27     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 28         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-230800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   38-43 (-4)   48-53        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+11)  82-87 (+1)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 25         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW 

SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 

MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-230800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   40-45 (-3)   54-59        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+12)  79-84 (-2)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  7 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         2 AM                      

PRECIP END            8 PM         8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-230800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   38-43 (-4)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+10)  83-88 (-2)   29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW 24        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   40-45 (-3)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+10)  93-98 (+9)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  9 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 23         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   67 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   40-45 (-4)   52-57        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+9)   92-97 (+11)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         2 AM                      

PRECIP END            8 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 22         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT TUE OCT 22 2013 /500 AM CDT TUE OCT 22 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    42-47 (-3)   55-60        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  79-84 (+2)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         2 AM                      

PRECIP END            8 PM         8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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