

069 

FNUS54 KMRX 210656

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOSTLY DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THIS WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO BE NEAR 

NORMAL TODAY AND TUESDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT WILL 

BRING A FEW SHOWERS...FOLLOWED BY MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR MID 

TO LATE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+5)   41-46 (+8)   57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   82-87 (-10)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    SW  5        SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 14         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO

LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   41-46 (+8)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-3)   81-86 (-11)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W 16         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   40-45 (+8)   58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   82-87 (-11)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO 

LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO 

MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S 

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   42-47 (+8)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   80-85 (-14)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   41-46 (+8)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-1)   80-85 (-13)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   42-47 (+9)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-1)   83-88 (-10)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W 12         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO 

MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S 

TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   43-48 (+9)   60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   81-86 (-13)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 12         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 

30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 

MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT MON OCT 21 2013 /500 AM CDT MON OCT 21 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+5)   44-49 (+9)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-2)   81-86 (-12)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W 13         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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