

675 

FNUS54 KMRX 191849

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

249 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SKIES WILL CLEAR TONIGHT BEHIND PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT WHICH MAY 

ALLOW PATCHY AREAS OF FOG TO DEVELOP. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND MID ATLANTIC STATES INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL 

RESULT IN DRY WEATHER AND NEAR SEASONAL TEMPERATURES UNTIL A 

STRONGER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH ON TUESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

249 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-8)   56-61 (-6)   35-40        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-9)   30-35 (-13)  84-89        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            11 PM                                               

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

249 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-7)   55-60 (-6)   34-39        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-6)   28-33 (-16)  83-88        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      SW 10        

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-202000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

249 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-8)   55-60 (-6)   34-39        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   20-25 (-25)  82-87        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-202000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

249 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  60-65 (-4)   35-40        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   24-29 (-21)  87-92        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-202000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

249 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      33-38 (-10)  61-66 (-3)   34-39        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-9)   18-23 (-27)  87-92        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW 12        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   42 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

249 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   59-64 (-5)   34-39        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   26-31 (-16)  93-98        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  5                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

249 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-9)   61-66 (-3)   34-39        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   27-32 (-15)  92-97        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

249 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013 /149 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   62-67 (-4)   36-41        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-5)   27-32 (-16)  87-92        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













