

135 

FNUS54 KMRX 181853

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

253 PM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOSTLY DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO 

BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A STRONG COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY 

WILL BRING COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

253 PM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   60-65 (-1)   34-39        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   45-50 (-3)   93-98        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G19    W  5         SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM                                  

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 25                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. HIGHS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

253 PM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    59-64 (-1)   34-39        57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  40-45 (-6)   84-89        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM                                  

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W  9         

DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-192000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

253 PM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (0)    60-65 (0)    34-39        58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-6)   32-37 (-15)  80-85        20-25        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G21     W  5 G17     LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM                                  

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 18                     NW  6        

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-192000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

253 PM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    66-71 (+2)   36-41        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-12)  31-36 (-14)  79-84        22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM                                  

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-192000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

253 PM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    66-71 (+1)   35-40        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-14)  28-33 (-16)  79-84        18-23        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM                                  

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      NW  6        

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

253 PM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (0)    63-68 (-1)   34-39        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   41-46 (-2)   87-92        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM                                  

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W  8         

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

253 PM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   64-69 (+1)   35-40        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-9)   39-44 (-7)   87-92        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM                                  

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 23                     NW  6        

DISPERSION                         84 GOOD                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

253 PM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013 /153 PM CDT FRI OCT 18 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    67-72 (+2)   36-41        64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-10)  35-40 (-9)   83-88        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM                                  

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      N  7         

DISPERSION                         85 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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