

624 

FNUS54 KMRX 180656

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



.DISCUSSION...

MOSTLY DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO 

BE NEAR NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A STRONG COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY 

WILL BRING COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   41-46 (+1)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-41)  85-90 (-10)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W 14         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+1)   40-45 (0)    58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-34)  88-93 (-7)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      W 14         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+1)   40-45 (0)    59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-36)  86-91 (-9)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W 12         

DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S 

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-190745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    43-48 (0)    63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-32)  83-88 (-12)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      W  8         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    42-47 (0)    63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-31)  83-88 (-14)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W 10         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             7                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   42-47 (0)    62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-36)  90-95 (-4)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W 10         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   43-48 (+1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-36)  85-90 (-10)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      W 10         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 

TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT FRI OCT 18 2013 /500 AM CDT FRI OCT 18 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   44-49 (0)    65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-29)  84-89 (-11)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 PM        

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      W  8         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$







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