

550 

FNUS54 KMRX 171904

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 PM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE AREA THIS EVENING...AS DRIER AIR 

MOVES INTO THE REGION.  FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE DRY 

AT MOST PLACES...ALTHOUGH THERE COULD BE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS IN 

PARTS OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE RETURNING TO 

NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 PM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-12)  60-65 (-1)   42-47        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  40-45 (-43)  84-89        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   12 PM        

PRECIP END            12 AM                                  8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-14)  58-63 (-2)   40-45        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  41-46 (-37)  90-95        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         

PRECIP END            12 AM                                  8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S

TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 PM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-15)  57-62 (-2)   40-45        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  33-38 (-48)  85-90        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         

PRECIP END            12 AM                                  8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-14)  61-66 (-1)   44-49        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  38-43 (-40)  78-83        27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         

PRECIP END            12 AM                                  8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     W 10         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 PM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-15)  62-67 (0)    43-48        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  31-36 (-45)  78-83        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         

PRECIP END            12 AM                                  8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 PM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-13)  62-67 (0)    41-46        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  38-43 (-41)  92-97        35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   12 PM        

PRECIP END            12 AM                                  8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 16         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID

40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 PM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-14)  64-69 (+2)   42-47        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   35-40 (-44)  86-91        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 PM EDT THU OCT 17 2013 /204 PM CDT THU OCT 17 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-14)  66-71 (+3)   43-48        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   35-40 (-39)  85-90        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 12 PM        

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  7                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO

MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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