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FNUS54 KMRX 170823

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

423 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS CONTINUE TODAY AS COLD FRONT PROGRESSES EAST ACROSS REGION. 

SKIES CLEAR OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY COOLER NIGHTS AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY 

SUNNY DAYS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK SYSTEM SATURDAY COULD PRODUCE 

A FEW SHOWERS.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

423 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-4)   40-45 (-13)  60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+16)  95-100 (0)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W  8         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

423 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   39-44 (-14)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+17)  95-100 (+1)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W  7         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-180930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

423 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-1)   38-43 (-16)  57-62        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+12)  95-100 (0)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W  5         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-180930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

423 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   42-47 (-14)  61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+10)  95-100 (+1)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW  3        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-180930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

423 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    41-46 (-15)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (+10)  95-100 (0)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W  5         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

423 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   40-45 (-14)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+15)  95-100 (+1)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W  5         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

423 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   40-45 (-15)  63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+4)   95-100 (0)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       4                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W  5         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

423 AM EDT THU OCT 17 2013 /323 AM CDT THU OCT 17 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-4)   43-48 (-14)  64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   95-100 (-1)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W  3         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.



$$



TD/SON









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