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FNUS54 KMRX 151447 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1047 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON 

WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN AND COOLER TEMPERATURES 

FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161600-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1047 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-2)   51-56 (+3)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-9)   95-100 (+1)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161600-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1047 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+1)   49-54 (+2)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-16)  93-98 (+7)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      W 12         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-161600-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1047 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    50-55 (+1)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-17)  95-100 (+4)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-161600-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1047 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (0)    53-58 (+2)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-6)   92-97 (+3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-161600-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1047 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   52-57 (+3)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-6)   92-97 (+5)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1047 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   51-56 (+1)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   95-100 (+10) 45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161600-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1047 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-3)   54-59 (+2)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    95-100 (+7)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO

UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161600-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1047 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013 /947 AM CDT TUE OCT 15 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   56-61 (+2)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   93-98 (+8)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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