

104 

FNUS54 KMRX 141900

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A 

STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 

ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN AND COOLER 

TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK THAT WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL 

FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   68-73 (-1)   50-55        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   49-54 (-14)  95-100       53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   67-72 (+1)   48-53        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  47-52 (-15)  95-100       50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    4 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-152000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    66-71 (0)    48-53        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   46-51 (-17)  95-100       56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW 14        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-152000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (0)    70-75 (+1)   51-56        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   46-51 (-13)  95-100       59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      SW 14        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-152000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    69-74 (+1)   50-55        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   47-52 (-14)  95-100       58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     SW 13        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   24 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   70-75 (0)    50-55        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  47-52 (-10)  95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW 15        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   72-77 (+1)   53-58        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  48-53 (-7)   95-100       60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW 16        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.

COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT MON OCT 14 2013 /200 PM CDT MON OCT 14 2013/



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    73-78 (+1)   54-59        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   49-54 (-4)   95-100       64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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