

637 

FNUS54 KMRX 140654

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

254 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A 

STRONG COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY 

ON WEDNESDAY...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN AND COOLER 

TEMPERATURES FOR THE END OF THE WEEK THAT WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL 

FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

254 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+1)   47-52 (-3)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-7)   95-100 (0)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      S 10         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   32 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+6)   46-51 (-2)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-16)  95-100 (0)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      SE 10        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

254 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+6)   49-54 (+1)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-10)  93-98 (-3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      SE 10        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+5)   52-57 (+1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   89-94 (-6)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      SE 10        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+2)   51-56 (+1)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   88-93 (-8)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  5                      SE 12        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

254 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+1)   49-54 (-1)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   95-100 (0)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S  9         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR

50. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

254 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   51-56 (-1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    95-100 (+1)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     S  9         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

254 AM EDT MON OCT 14 2013 /154 AM CDT MON OCT 14 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   54-59 (+1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+5)   91-96 (0)    46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     S 13         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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