

286 

FNUS54 KMRX 121930

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013



.DISCUSSION...

PLEASANT AUTUMN CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. A WEAK 

FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TOMORROW...INCREASING THE 

POSSIBILITY OF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS...MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 

40.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   67-72 (-2)   50-55        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  63-68 (+6)   95-100       55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     SE 10        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   66-71 (-1)   48-53        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  62-67 (+4)   95-100       53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   10 PM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  8                     E 12         

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-132030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   69-74 (+1)   49-54        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+9)  52-57 (-2)   92-97        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      E  6         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   7 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-132030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   75-80 (+2)   52-57        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   42-47 (-4)   90-95        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      E  3         

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-132030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   76-81 (+3)   51-56        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  43-48 (-3)   92-97        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      E  5         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               9 POOR       

MAX LVORI                          5                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   70-75 (-2)   51-56        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  56-61 (+4)   95-100       52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          2 AM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      E  9         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   73-78 (-1)   52-57        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  45-50 (0)    92-97        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      E  7         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

330 PM EDT SAT OCT 12 2013 /230 PM CDT SAT OCT 12 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   77-82 (0)    54-59        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   38-43 (-1)   88-93        51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      E  5         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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