

616 

FNUS54 KMRX 111831

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

231 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013



.DISCUSSION...

PLEASANT AUTUMN CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION INTO THE WEEKEND. A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE 

THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY...INCREASING THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW 

AFTERNOON SHOWERS...MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

231 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   69-74 (-2)   49-54        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  53-58 (+10)  90-95        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  5                      NE  8        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   67-72 (-1)   49-54        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  52-57 (+9)   86-91        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      NE  8        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-121945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

231 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+2)   68-73 (0)    47-52        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   44-49 (+6)   89-94        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     NE  8        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-121945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+1)   73-78 (+1)   48-53        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (0)    38-43 (+4)   88-93        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-121945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

231 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   73-78 (+2)   47-52        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  40-45 (+7)   90-95        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  9                      N  6         

DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

231 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   72-77 (-1)   50-55        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (+8)   89-94        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  5                     NE  7        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

231 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   74-79 (0)    50-55        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  39-44 (+5)   88-93        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      NE 10        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

231 PM EDT FRI OCT 11 2013 /131 PM CDT FRI OCT 11 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    77-82 (+1)   50-55        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  33-38 (+1)   88-93        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      NE 10        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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