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514 

FNUS54 KMRX 100218 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1018 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013



.DISCUSSION...

PLEASANT AUTUMN CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SEASONAL TEMPERATURES CAN 

BE ANTICIPATED WITH A SLIGHT WARMING TREND CONTINUING INTO THE 

WEEKEND. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110330-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1018 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   70-75 (+1)   47-52        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 33-38 (0)    80-85        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NE  6        

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110330-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1018 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   67-72 (-1)   44-49        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+7)   33-38 (0)    84-89        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         RAIN         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      NE  7        

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110330-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1018 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+1)   68-73 (-1)   42-47        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   31-36 (-10)  79-84        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NE  5        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110330-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1018 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   73-78 (0)    45-50        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 30-35 (-11)  75-80        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 13                      N  3         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110330-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1018 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   73-78 (-1)   43-48        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+14) 30-35 (-11)  78-83        28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      N  3         

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   12 POOR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1018 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-2)   72-77 (0)    44-49        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 30-35 (-4)   87-92        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     NE  5        

DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110330-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1018 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    74-79 (0)    45-50        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+11) 30-35 (-9)   82-87        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  8                      NE  3        

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110330-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1018 PM EDT WED OCT 9 2013 /918 PM CDT WED OCT 9 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    76-81 (+1)   47-52        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 30-35 (-11)  82-87        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 10                      N  5         

DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE

OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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