

433 

FNUS54 KMRX 070708

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

308 AM EDT MON OCT 7 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL EXIT THE AREA THIS MORNING...AND COOLER AND DRIER 

AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT TODAY. DRY WEATHER WITH 

TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE 

WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN BY THE END OF THE 

WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

308 AM EDT MON OCT 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-15)  41-46 (-11)  64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   81-86 (-9)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     E 10         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 AM EDT MON OCT 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-14)  39-44 (-14)  62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-8)   83-88 (-11)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     E  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      E  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     E 10         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-080815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

308 AM EDT MON OCT 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-11)  41-46 (-9)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-23)  82-87 (-12)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      E  8         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-080815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

308 AM EDT MON OCT 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-9)   44-49 (-8)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-26)  81-86 (-14)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      E  9         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-080815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

308 AM EDT MON OCT 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-8)   43-48 (-10)  68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-27)  85-90 (-8)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            12 PM                     CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      E 10         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN

10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

308 AM EDT MON OCT 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-14)  41-46 (-12)  67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   84-89 (-8)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     E  9         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 50. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

308 AM EDT MON OCT 7 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-11)  42-47 (-8)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-17)  84-89 (-10)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 10                      E 10         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

308 AM EDT MON OCT 7 2013 /208 AM CDT MON OCT 7 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-11)  45-50 (-4)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-25)  81-86 (-15)  39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  7                      NE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      3000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 14                      E  9         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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