

347 

FNUS54 KMRX 070133 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

933 PM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN 

APPROACHING STRONG COLD FRONT.  THE INITIAL BAND OF CONVECTION WILL 

MOVE THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING WITH THE MAIN 

ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PUSHING THROUGH OVERNIGHT.  HEAVY 

RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. 

COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-080245-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

933 PM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   64-69 (-15)  41-46        62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (+3)   40-45 (-7)   83-88        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.95         0.12         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      E 14         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-080245-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

933 PM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    64-69 (-13)  40-45        60-65        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  41-46 (-8)   81-86        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.16         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      E  8         

DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-080245-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

933 PM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   65-70 (-10)  40-45        61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  30-35 (-22)  83-88        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     N  6         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.05         0.05         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     E  8         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-080245-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

933 PM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-4)   69-74 (-8)   40-45        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  30-35 (-26)  84-89        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         N  7         NE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       6            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.20         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     E  8         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-080245-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

933 PM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    70-75 (-7)   39-44        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  31-36 (-26)  84-89        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         N  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.19         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     E  8         

DISPERSION                         45 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          3                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-080245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

933 PM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-3)   67-72 (-13)  41-46        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  38-43 (-7)   84-89        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.02         0.10         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      E 13         

DISPERSION                         51 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-080245-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

933 PM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   66-71 (-12)  42-47        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  38-43 (-15)  87-92        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.98         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     E 16         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-080245-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

933 PM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013 /833 PM CDT SUN OCT 6 2013/



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-11)  68-73 (-9)   43-48        66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  37-42 (-25)  87-92        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        N  7         N  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         1.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      E 14         

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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