

925 

FNUS54 KMRX 060721

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

321 AM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS 

LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS 

MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL 

MOVE IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON MONDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED 

TO BE NEAR NORMAL.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-070830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

321 AM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    55-60 (-2)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   93-98 (+3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     SE  7 G15    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          5 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.70         0.12         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      W 14         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-070830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

321 AM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    56-61 (+2)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   95-100 (+4)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SE  9 G18    NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            100          50           

PRECIP DURATION                    6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.79         0.17         

LAL                   1            2            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      W 13         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               28 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-070830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

321 AM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   52-57 (-3)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   95-100 (+6)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  8 G19     N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         1.31         0.06         

LAL                   2            3            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      W  8         

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-070830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

321 AM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   54-59 (-2)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   88-93 (-3)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  7 G16     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         1.52         0.01         

LAL                   2            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-070830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

321 AM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   55-60 (+2)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-6)   90-95 (0)    36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G17     S  6 G15     N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         1.57         0.03         

LAL                   2            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      NW 13        

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-070830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

321 AM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   56-61 (-1)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   95-100 (+6)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.85         0.10         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      W 13         

DISPERSION            55 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-070830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

321 AM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   52-57 (-7)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   95-100 (+4)  37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  5         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          10           

PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         1.13         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-070830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

321 AM EDT SUN OCT 6 2013 /221 AM CDT SUN OCT 6 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   51-56 (-9)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+2)   95-100 (0)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     LGT/VAR      N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            6                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         1.05         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               49 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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