

307 

FNUS54 KMRX 060048 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

848 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD 

FRONT...TO PRODUCE A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO 

SUNDAY NIGHT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION 

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES 

EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-070200-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

848 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   78-83 (-1)   57-62        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   44-49 (-6)   95-100       59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G19                  SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     S  8 G16     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            4            

PRECIP BEGIN                       3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.52         0.60         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 21        

DISPERSION                         58 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-070200-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

848 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   76-81 (-1)   56-61        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   45-50 (-4)   95-100       66-71        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G21                 SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G21     S 11 G23     W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN                       3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.50         0.58         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 20        

DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-070200-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

848 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   74-79 (-3)   56-61        63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   50-55 (-1)   95-100       59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G21                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G21     S  9 G23     W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.64         0.35         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         41 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-070200-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

848 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    76-81 (-3)   57-62        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   50-55 (0)    95-100       54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G22                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G21     SW  6 G19    NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.68         0.25         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      W 12         

DISPERSION                         55 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-070200-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

848 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   76-81 (-3)   57-62        65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   48-53 (-2)   95-100       57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G20                 LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     S  7 G16     NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.64         0.28         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 22                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-070200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

848 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    79-84 (-2)   58-63        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   43-48 (-5)   94-99        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     S  6         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            6            3            

PRECIP BEGIN                       3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.58         0.47         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-070200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

848 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    78-83 (-3)   56-61        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   50-55 (0)    94-99        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G20     SW  5        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           100          70           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         0.77         0.24         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 70. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-070200-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

848 PM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 /748 PM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   78-83 (-3)   56-61        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-2)   52-57 (+2)   95-100       49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G21                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     SW  6        NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          60           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            7            2            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.20         0.86         0.09         

LAL                   1            3            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      W 13         

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













