

402 

FNUS54 KMRX 050702

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

302 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES 

TODAY. AFTER SOME PATCHY MORNING FOG...SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY. 

THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM KAREN WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG 

COLD FRONT...TO PRODUCE A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN ON SUNDAY THROUGH 

MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

302 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   56-61 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   94-99 (+4)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     S 18         

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   54-59 (+1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   94-99 (+4)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     S 18         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN

THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-060815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

302 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    54-59 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  93-98 (+3)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S 21         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    73 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.

LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-060815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

302 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    57-62 (+3)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   87-92 (-3)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S 23         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-060815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

302 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    54-59 (+2)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-8)   88-93 (-2)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S 21         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    89 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             8                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

302 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   56-61 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  95-100 (+4)  36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     S 17         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

302 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   59-64 (+2)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-9)   91-96 (+1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S 22         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

302 AM EDT SAT OCT 5 2013 /202 AM CDT SAT OCT 5 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   60-65 (+2)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  87-92 (-3)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.20         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S 24         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               100 GOOD     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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