

018 

FNUS54 KMRX 041828

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

230 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH PATCHY DENSE FOG 

POSSIBLE EACH MORNING ALONG THE WATERWAYS. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL 

SYSTEM KAREN WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT...TO PRODUCE A 

GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN ON SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

230 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   79-84 (+1)   57-62        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   44-49 (-7)   90-95        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     S 18         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

230 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    77-82 (+1)   56-61        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   45-50 (-5)   89-94        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 18         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   35 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-051915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

230 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   77-82 (+1)   56-61        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   44-49 (-7)   87-92        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.23         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 20         

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-051915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

230 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    80-85 (+1)   57-62        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    43-48 (-8)   87-92        55-60        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 22         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-051915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

230 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   79-84 (+1)   55-60        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   43-48 (-5)   87-92        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.33         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      S 20         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

230 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+1)   80-85 (+1)   58-63        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-2)   43-48 (-7)   89-94        52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.10         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     S 17         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 

MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

230 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   81-86 (+1)   60-65        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   43-48 (-8)   87-92        54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  8 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  9 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.24         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     S 23         

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

230 PM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 /130 PM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013/



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   82-87 (+1)   60-65        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-3)   44-49 (-7)   87-92        57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            70           

PRECIP DURATION                                              2            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.32         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      S 24         

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 

50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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