

463 

FNUS54 KMRX 040655

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

255 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL 

SYSTEM KAREN WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT...TO PRODUCE A 

GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN ON SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

255 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    54-59 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-2)   93-98 (-1)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      S  6         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   54-59 (+1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   93-98 (0)    34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      S  3         

DISPERSION            8 POOR                    11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

255 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   54-59 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-8)   94-99 (+1)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     S  3         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    56-61 (+2)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   90-95 (-3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     S  6         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

255 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    53-58 (+3)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-6)   91-96 (-4)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      S  6         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

255 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   55-60 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-6)   95-100 (0)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      S  5         

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

255 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    57-62 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-7)   95-100 (0)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SW  7        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    26 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

255 AM EDT FRI OCT 4 2013 /155 AM CDT FRI OCT 4 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    58-63 (0)    83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   92-97 (-2)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      S  8         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$













