

118 

FNUS54 KMRX 031844

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

245 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH PATCHY DENSE FOG 

POSSIBLE EACH MORNING NEAR THE WATERWAYS. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL 

SYSTEM KAREN WILL COMBINE WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT...TO PRODUCE A 

GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN ON SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

245 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    78-83 (0)    55-60        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   42-47 (-4)   90-95        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 

60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   76-81 (0)    54-59        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   43-48 (-3)   90-95        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-041945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

245 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-2)   76-81 (0)    55-60        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   44-49 (-4)   92-97        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-041945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-4)   79-84 (0)    56-61        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   43-48 (-3)   90-95        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   18 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-041945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

245 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   79-84 (0)    53-58        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   41-46 (-5)   90-95        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      S  7         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   19 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

245 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    80-85 (0)    56-61        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   42-47 (-3)   90-95        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

245 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   80-85 (0)    58-63        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   43-48 (-5)   90-95        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

245 PM EDT THU OCT 3 2013 /145 PM CDT THU OCT 3 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-4)   81-86 (0)    58-63        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   44-49 (-2)   90-95        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...NUMEROUS SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO 

LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$







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