

718 

FNUS54 KMRX 011858

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

258 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP OUR WEATHER DRY WITH SEASONAL 

TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID WEEK. PATCHY AREAS OF FOG ARE POSSIBLE EACH 

MORNING IN VALLEY AREAS. A STRONG COLD FRONT MAY APPROACH BY THE 

WEEKEND...BRINGING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

258 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   76-81 (+3)   53-58        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  39-44 (-9)   95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      SW  8        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   73-78 (+1)   49-54        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   38-43 (-9)   95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     SW  7        

DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

258 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   71-76 (0)    51-56        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  40-45 (-9)   89-94        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     SW  6        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+2)   75-80 (0)    51-56        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  42-47 (-7)   91-96        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     S  8         

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS

IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

258 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   75-80 (0)    50-55        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  39-44 (-10)  90-95        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

258 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   77-82 (+1)   52-57        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  37-42 (-7)   95-100       39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  3                     SW  8        

DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

258 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   77-82 (+1)   54-59        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+3)   42-47 (-7)   95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     SW  8        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

258 PM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013 /158 PM CDT TUE OCT 1 2013/



                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   79-84 (+1)   56-61        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   42-47 (-8)   91-96        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     S  9         

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               22 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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