

787 

FNUS54 KMRX 010715

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

315 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP OUR WEATHER DRY WITH SEASONAL 

TEMPERATURES THROUGH MID WEEK. PATCHY AREAS OF FOG ARE POSSIBLE EACH 

MORNING IN VALLEY AREAS. A STRONG COLD FRONT MAY APPROACH BY THE 

WEEKEND...BRINGING SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

315 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   51-56 (+2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-15)  95-100 (+2)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W  6         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+7)   48-53 (+1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-20)  95-100 (-1)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      N  5         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               8 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

315 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+5)   47-52 (0)    71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-18)  95-100 (+1)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     NE  3        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+6)   48-53 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-15)  95-100 (+3)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     N  5         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

315 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+6)   47-52 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-14)  95-100 (0)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     NE  3        

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             6                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

315 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+6)   49-54 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-17)  95-100 (+4)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      NW  3        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   9 POOR       



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

315 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+5)   52-57 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-13)  95-100 (+4)  44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     W  3         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

315 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2013 /215 AM CDT TUE OCT 1 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+6)   53-58 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-10)  95-100 (+6)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW  3        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               10 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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