

569 

FNUS54 KMRX 290839

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

439 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2013



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE NATION TODAY... 

AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO RIVER 

VALLEYS. ONLY SPOTTY SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY 

MONDAY. SEASONAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY FOR NEXT 

WEEK. A STRONGER COLD FRONT MAY BRING A GREATER CHANCE OF SHOWERS BY 

FRIDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-300930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

439 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-3)   51-56 (+3)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   90-95 (+5)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      W  9         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-300930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

439 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-2)   50-55 (+2)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   82-87 (+3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      W  6         

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-300930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

439 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-2)   51-56 (+1)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   82-87 (+4)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     W  5         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-300930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

439 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   52-57 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   77-82 (-2)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW  5        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-300930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

439 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (0)    51-56 (+1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   77-82 (-2)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     SW  3        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   11 POOR      

MAX LVORI             6                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-300930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

439 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   53-58 (+4)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+4)   81-86 (0)    43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      W  6         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-300930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

439 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-4)   54-59 (+1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   82-87 (+3)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         8 AM         

PRECIP END                         2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-300930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

439 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2013 /339 AM CDT SUN SEP 29 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   54-59 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   82-87 (+6)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      5 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW  6        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 



$$



TG/TD











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