

256 

FNUS54 KMRX 261841

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

241 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013



.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

OVERNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.  TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE 

NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A WEAK 

COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-271945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

241 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   74-79 (+1)   48-53        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  39-44 (-13)  93-98        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      SW  3        

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN

THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-271945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-5)   71-76 (0)    46-51        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-3)  43-48 (-11)  95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     N  3         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   11 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-271945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

241 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-4)   71-76 (+1)   48-53        68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-3)   45-50 (-11)  95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      N  5         

DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-271945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   76-81 (+3)   49-54        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   41-46 (-14)  95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      NW  5        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-271945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   76-81 (+3)   48-53        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   42-47 (-13)  95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     N  3         

DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         6            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-271945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

241 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   76-81 (+1)   48-53        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   40-45 (-11)  93-98        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     NW  3        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-271945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

241 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   77-82 (+2)   51-56        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   41-46 (-11)  92-97        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  3                     W  3         

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-271945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

241 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2013 /141 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2013/



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   78-83 (+3)   52-57        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   37-42 (-17)  92-97        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      SW  3        

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               12 POOR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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