

233 

FNUS54 KMRX 251829

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

229 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY EXIT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING AN END TO THE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  

THUNDERSTORMS.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL THEN RETURN FOR THE END OF 

THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL. THE NEXT 

CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO 

MONDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

229 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-1)   70-75 (+5)   50-55        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  52-57 (-22)  89-94        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID

70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

229 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   67-72 (+3)   48-53        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  53-58 (-21)  89-94        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-261930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

229 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   67-72 (+4)   51-56        70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  55-60 (-21)  90-95        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-261930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

229 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-2)   71-76 (+5)   53-58        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   55-60 (-20)  90-95        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-261930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

229 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-1)   71-76 (+6)   52-57        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   58-63 (-17)  92-97        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      N/A          

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         7            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

229 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-1)   72-77 (+5)   50-55        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   50-55 (-24)  93-98        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

229 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   74-79 (+7)   54-59        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  49-54 (-25)  88-93        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            8 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

229 PM EDT WED SEP 25 2013 /129 PM CDT WED SEP 25 2013/



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   74-79 (+6)   56-61        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  51-56 (-24)  87-92        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            4 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                                      

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                                   

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  5                     N/A          

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               0 VERY POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$













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