

023 

FNUS54 KMRX 250803

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

403 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW 

THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA.  DRY CONDITIONS WILL THEN RETURN FOR 

THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING A LITTLE ABOVE 

NORMAL. THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED 

SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260915-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

403 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-8)   52-57 (-1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+20)  95-100 (+2)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      NE 10        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   36 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260915-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

403 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-7)   50-55 (-2)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+17)  95-100 (+1)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     NE 10        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-260915-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

403 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-5)   52-57 (-3)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+9)   95-100 (+2)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.06         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NE  9        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-260915-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

403 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-4)   55-60 (-2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+7)   95-100 (0)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.04         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NE  9        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-260915-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

403 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-4)   55-60 (-1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+8)   95-100 (-1)  51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.05         0.01         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NE  7        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         5            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

403 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-9)   53-58 (-1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+25)  95-100 (0)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           40           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.03         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     NE  9        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   34 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260915-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

403 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2013



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-8)   55-60 (-3)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+17)  95-100 (0)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       4            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E 12                      NE  8        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-260915-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

403 AM EDT WED SEP 25 2013 /303 AM CDT WED SEP 25 2013/



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-3)   57-62 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+6)   95-100 (+1)  47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.25         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      NE  9        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$













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